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Author Roszkowski, L.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Efficient reconstruction of constrained MSSM parameters from LHC data: A case study Type Journal Article
  Year 2010 Publication Physical Review D Abbreviated Journal Phys. Rev. D  
  Volume 82 Issue 5 Pages 055003 - 12pp  
  Keywords  
  Abstract We present an efficient method of reconstructing the parameters of the constrained MSSM from assumed future LHC data, applied both on their own right and in combination with the cosmological determination of the relic dark matter abundance. Focusing on the ATLAS SU3 benchmark point, we demonstrate that our simple Gaussian approximation can recover the values of its parameters remarkably well. We examine two popular noninformative priors and obtain very similar results, although when we use an informative, naturalness-motivated prior, we find some sizeable differences. We show that a further strong improvement in reconstructing the SU3 parameters can by achieved by applying additional information about the relic abundance at the level of WMAP accuracy, although the expected data from Planck will have only a very limited additional impact. Further external data may be required to break some remaining degeneracies. We argue that the method presented here is applicable to a wide class of low-energy effective supersymmetric models, as it does not require one to deal with purely experimental issues, e.g., detector performance, and has the additional advantages of computational efficiency. Furthermore, our approach allows one to distinguish the effect of the model's internal structure and of the external data on the final parameters constraints.  
  Address [Roszkowski, Leszek] Univ Sheffield, Dept Phys & Astron, Sheffield S3 7RH, S Yorkshire, England, Email: L.Roszkowski@sheffield.ac.uk  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Amer Physical Soc Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1550-7998 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000281517100002 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ elepoucu @ Serial 385  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Bertone, G.; Cerdeño, D.G.; Fornasa, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Identification of dark matter particles with LHC and direct detection data Type Journal Article
  Year 2010 Publication Physical Review D Abbreviated Journal Phys. Rev. D  
  Volume 82 Issue 5 Pages 055008 - 7pp  
  Keywords  
  Abstract Dark matter (DM) is currently searched for with a variety of detection strategies. Accelerator searches are particularly promising, but even if weakly interacting massive particles are found at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), it will be difficult to prove that they constitute the bulk of the DM in the Universe Omega(DM). We show that a significantly better reconstruction of the DM properties can be obtained with a combined analysis of LHC and direct detection data, by making a simple Ansatz on the weakly interacting massive particles local density rho(0)((chi) over bar1), i.e., by assuming that the local density scales with the cosmological relic abundance, (rho(0)((chi) over bar1)/rho(DM)) = (Omega(0)((chi) over bar1)/Omega(DM)). We demonstrate this method in an explicit example in the context of a 24-parameter supersymmetric model, with a neutralino lightest supersymmetric particle in the stau coannihilation region. Our results show that future ton-scale direct detection experiments will allow to break degeneracies in the supersymmetric parameter space and achieve a significantly better reconstruction of the neutralino composition and its relic density than with LHC data alone.  
  Address [Bertone, G.] Univ Zurich, Inst Theoret Phys, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Amer Physical Soc Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1550-7998 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000281741400005 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ elepoucu @ Serial 380  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Trotta, R.; Johannesson, G.; Moskalenko, I.V.; Porter, T.A.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strong, A.W. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Constraints on Cosmic-Ray Propagation Models from a Global Bayesian Analysis Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Astrophysical Journal Abbreviated Journal Astrophys. J.  
  Volume 729 Issue 2 Pages 106 - 16pp  
  Keywords astroparticle physics; cosmic rays; diffusion; Galaxy: general; ISM: general; methods: statistical  
  Abstract Research in many areas of modern physics such as, e. g., indirect searches for dark matter and particle acceleration in supernova remnant shocks rely heavily on studies of cosmic rays (CRs) and associated diffuse emissions (radio, microwave, X-rays, gamma-rays). While very detailed numerical models of CR propagation exist, a quantitative statistical analysis of such models has been so far hampered by the large computational effort that those models require. Although statistical analyses have been carried out before using semi-analytical models (where the computation is much faster), the evaluation of the results obtained from such models is difficult, as they necessarily suffer from many simplifying assumptions. The main objective of this paper is to present a working method for a full Bayesian parameter estimation for a numerical CR propagation model. For this study, we use the GALPROP code, the most advanced of its kind, which uses astrophysical information, and nuclear and particle data as inputs to self-consistently predict CRs, gamma-rays, synchrotron, and other observables. We demonstrate that a full Bayesian analysis is possible using nested sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (implemented in the SuperBayeS code) despite the heavy computational demands of a numerical propagation code. The best-fit values of parameters found in this analysis are in agreement with previous, significantly simpler, studies also based on GALPROP.  
  Address [Trotta, R.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Astrophys Grp, Blackett Lab, London SW7 2AZ, England  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Iop Publishing Ltd Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0004-637x ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000288608700029 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 541  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Roszkowski, L.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R.; Tsai, Y.L.S.; Varley, T.A. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Global fits of the nonuniversal Higgs model Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Physical Review D Abbreviated Journal Phys. Rev. D  
  Volume 83 Issue 1 Pages 015014 - 19pp  
  Keywords  
  Abstract We carry out global fits to the nonuniversal Higgs Model (NUHM), applying all relevant present-day constraints. We present global probability maps for the NUHM parameters and observables (including collider signatures, direct, and indirect detection quantities), both in terms of posterior probabilities and in terms of profile likelihood maps. We identify regions of the parameter space where the neutralino dark matter in the model is either binolike, or else higgsinolike with mass close to 1 TeV and a spin-independent scattering cross section similar to 10(-9)-10(-8) pb. We trace the occurrence of the higgsinolike region to be a consequence of a mild focusing effect in the running of one of the Higgs masses, the existence of which in the NUHM we identify in our analysis. Although the usual binolike neutralino is more prominent, higgsinolike dark matter cannot be excluded, however its significance strongly depends on the prior and statistics used to assess it. We note that, despite experimental constraints often favoring different regions of parameter space to the constrained minimal supersymmetric standard model, most observational consequences appear fairly similar, which will make it challenging to distinguish the two models experimentally.  
  Address [Roszkowski, Leszek; Tsai, Yue-Lin Sming; Varley, Tom A.] Univ Sheffield, Dept Phys & Astron, Sheffield S3 7RH, S Yorkshire, England, Email: L.Roszkowski@sheffield.ac.uk  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Amer Physical Soc Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1550-7998 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000286765800007 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 586  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Bertone, G.; Kong, K.C.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Global fits of the minimal universal extra dimensions scenario Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Physical Review D Abbreviated Journal Phys. Rev. D  
  Volume 83 Issue 3 Pages 036008 - 15pp  
  Keywords  
  Abstract In theories with universal extra dimensions (UED), the gamma(1) particle, first excited state of the hypercharge gauge boson, provides an excellent dark matter (DM) candidate. Here, we use a modified version of the SUPERBAYES code to perform a Bayesian analysis of the minimal UED scenario, in order to assess its detectability at accelerators and with DM experiments. We derive, in particular, the most probable range of mass and scattering cross sections off nucleons, keeping into account cosmological and electroweak precision constraints. The consequences for the detectability of the gamma(1) with direct and indirect experiments are dramatic. The spin-independent cross section probability distribution peaks at similar to 10(-11) pb, i.e. below the sensitivity of ton-scale experiments. The spin-dependent cross section drives the predicted neutrino flux from the center of the Sun below the reach of present and upcoming experiments. The only strategy that remains open appears to be direct detection with ton-scale experiments sensitive to spin-dependent cross sections. On the other hand, the LHC with 1 fb(-1) of data should be able to probe the current best-fit UED parameters.  
  Address [Bertone, Gianfranco] Univ Zurich, Inst Theoret Phys, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Amer Physical Soc Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1550-7998 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000287655300012 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 567  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Bridges, M.; Cranmer, K.; Feroz, F.; Hobson, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title A coverage study of the CMSSM based on ATLAS sensitivity using fast neural networks techniques Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Journal of High Energy Physics Abbreviated Journal J. High Energy Phys.  
  Volume 03 Issue 3 Pages 012 - 23pp  
  Keywords Supersymmetry; Phenomenology  
  Abstract We assess the coverage properties of confidence and credible intervals on the CMSSM parameter space inferred from a Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood based on an ATLAS sensitivity study. In order to make those calculations feasible, we introduce a new method based on neural networks to approximate the mapping between CMSSM parameters and weak-scale particle masses. Our method reduces the computational effort needed to sample the CMSSM parameter space by a factor of similar to 10(4) with respect to conventional techniques. We find that both the Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood intervals can significantly over-cover and identify the origin of this effect to physical boundaries in the parameter space. Finally, we point out that the effects intrinsic to the statistical procedure are conflated with simplifications to the likelihood functions from the experiments themselves.  
  Address [Bridges, Michael; Feroz, Farhan; Hobson, Mike] Univ Cambridge, Cavendish Lab, Astrophys Grp, Cambridge CB3 0HE, England, Email: mb435@mrao.cam.ac.uk  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Springer Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1126-6708 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000289295200012 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 610  
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Author Pato, M.; Baudis, L.; Bertone, G.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strigari, L.E.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Complementarity of dark matter direct detection targets Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Physical Review D Abbreviated Journal Phys. Rev. D  
  Volume 83 Issue 8 Pages 083505 - 11pp  
  Keywords  
  Abstract We investigate the reconstruction capabilities of the dark matter mass and spin-independent cross section from future ton-scale direct detection experiments using germanium, xenon, or argon as targets. Adopting realistic values for the exposure, energy threshold, and resolution of dark matter experiments which will come online within 5 to 10 years, the degree of complementarity between different targets is quantified. We investigate how the uncertainty in the astrophysical parameters controlling the local dark matter density and velocity distribution affects the reconstruction. For a 50 GeV WIMP, astrophysical uncertainties degrade the accuracy in the mass reconstruction by up to a factor of similar to 4 for xenon and germanium, compared to the case when astrophysical quantities are fixed. However, the combination of argon, germanium, and xenon data increases the constraining power by a factor of similar to 2 compared to germanium or xenon alone. We show that future direct detection experiments can achieve self-calibration of some astrophysical parameters, and they will be able to constrain the WIMP mass with only very weak external astrophysical constraints.  
  Address [Pato, Miguel; Bertone, Gianfranco] Univ Zurich, Inst Theoret Phys, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland, Email: pato@iap.fr  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Amer Physical Soc Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1550-7998 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000289353200003 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 605  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Cabrera, M.E.; Casas, J.A.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Quantifying the tension between the Higgs mass and (g-2)(mu) in the constrained MSSM Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Physical Review D Abbreviated Journal Phys. Rev. D  
  Volume 84 Issue 1 Pages 015006 - 7pp  
  Keywords  
  Abstract Supersymmetry has often been invoked as the new physics that might reconcile the experimental muon magnetic anomaly, a(mu), with the theoretical prediction (basing the computation of the hadronic contribution on e(+)e(-) data). However, in the context of the constrained minimal supersymmetric standard model (CMSSM), the required supersymmetric contributions (which grow with decreasing supersymmetric masses) are in potential tension with a possibly large Higgs mass (which requires large stop masses). In the limit of very large m(h) supersymmetry gets decoupled, and the CMSSM must show the same discrepancy as the standard model with a(mu). But it is much less clear for which size of m(h) does the tension start to be unbearable. In this paper, we quantify this tension with the help of Bayesian techniques. We find that for m(h) >= 125 GeV the maximum level of discrepancy given the current data (similar to 3.2 sigma) is already achieved. Requiring less than 3 sigma discrepancy, implies m(h) less than or similar to 120 GeV. For a larger Higgs mass we should give up either the CMSSM model or the computation of a(mu) based on e(+)e(-); or accept living with such an inconsistency.  
  Address [Cabrera, ME; Casas, JA] UAM, IFT UAM CSIC, Inst Fis Teor, Madrid 28049, Spain, Email: maria.cabrera@uam.es  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Amer Physical Soc Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1550-7998 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000292547200003 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 680  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Feroz, F.; Cranmer, K.; Hobson, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Challenges of profile likelihood evaluation in multi-dimensional SUSY scans Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication Journal of High Energy Physics Abbreviated Journal J. High Energy Phys.  
  Volume 06 Issue 6 Pages 042 - 23pp  
  Keywords Supersymmetry Phenomenology  
  Abstract Statistical inference of the fundamental parameters of supersymmetric theories is a challenging and active endeavor. Several sophisticated algorithms have been employed to this end. While Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling techniques are geared towards Bayesian inference, they have also been used to estimate frequentist confidence intervals based on the profile likelihood ratio. We investigate the performance and appropriate configuration of MULTINEST, a nested sampling based algorithm, when used for profile likelihood-based analyses both on toy models and on the parameter space of the Constrained MSSM. We find that while the standard configuration previously used in the literarture is appropriate for an accurate reconstruction of the Bayesian posterior, the profile likelihood is poorly approximated. We identify a more appropriate MULTINEST configuration for profile likelihood analyses, which gives an excellent exploration of the profile likelihood (albeit at a larger computational cost), including the identification of the global maximum likelihood value. We conclude that with the appropriate configuration MULTINEST is a suitable tool for profile likelihood studies, indicating previous claims to the contrary are not well founded.  
  Address [Feroz, F; Hobson, M] Univ Cambridge, Cavendish Lab, Cambridge CB3 0HE, England, Email: f.feroz@mrao.cam.ac.uk  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Springer Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1126-6708 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000293136500042 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ elepoucu @ Serial 745  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Bertone, G.; Cerdeño, D.G.; Fornasa, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strege, C.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Global fits of the cMSSM including the first LHC and XENON100 data Type Journal Article
  Year 2012 Publication Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics Abbreviated Journal J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys.  
  Volume 01 Issue 1 Pages 015 - 23pp  
  Keywords dark matter theory; supersymmetry and cosmology  
  Abstract We present updated global fits of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM), including the most recent constraints from the ATLAS and CMS detectors at the LHC, as well as the most recent results of the XENON100 experiment. Our robust analysis takes into account both astrophysical and hadronic uncertainties that enter in the calculation of the rate of WIMP-induced recoils in direct detection experiment. We study the consequences for neutralino Dark Matter, and show that current direct detection data already allow to robustly rule out the so-called Focus Point region, therefore demonstrating the importance of particle astrophysics experiments in constraining extensions of the Standard Model of Particle Physics. We also observe an increased compatibility between results obtained from a Bayesian and a Frequentist statistical perspective. We find that upcoming ton-scale direct detection experiments will probe essentially the entire currently favoured region (at the 99% level), almost independently of the statistical approach used. Prospects for indirect detection of the cMSSM are further reduced.  
  Address [Bertone, Gianfranco] Univ Amsterdam, GRAPPA Inst, NL-1090 GL Amsterdam, Netherlands, Email: gf.bertone@gmail.com  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Iop Publishing Ltd Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title (up) Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1475-7516 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000300403300015 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 936  
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