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Author Strege, C.; Bertone, G.; Feroz, F.; Fornasa, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Global fits of the cMSSM and NUHM including the LHC Higgs discovery and new XENON100 constraints Type Journal Article
  Year 2013 Publication (up) Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics Abbreviated Journal J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys.  
  Volume 04 Issue 4 Pages 013 - 40pp  
  Keywords dark matter theory; supersymmetry and cosmology  
  Abstract We present global fits of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM) and the Non-Universal Higgs Model (NUHM), including the most recent CMS constraint on the Higgs boson mass, 5.8 fb(-1) integrated luminosity null Supersymmetry searches by ATLAS, the new LHCb measurement of B R ((B) over bar (s) -> mu(+) mu(-)) and the 7-year WMAP dark matter relic abundance determination. We include the latest dark matter constraints from the XENON100 experiment, marginalising over astrophysical and particle physics uncertainties. We present Bayesian posterior and profile likelihood maps of the highest resolution available today, obtained from up to 350M points. We find that the new constraint on the Higgs boson mass has a dramatic impact, ruling out large regions of previously favoured cMSSM and NUHM parameter space. In the cMSSM, light sparticles and predominantly gaugino-like dark matter with a mass of a few hundred GeV are favoured. The NUHM exhibits a strong preference for heavier sparticle masses and a Higgsino-like neutralino with a mass of 1 TeV. The future ton-scale XENON1T direct detection experiment will probe large portions of the currently favoured cMSSM and NUHM parameter space. The LHC operating at 14 TeV collision energy will explore the favoured regions in the cMSSM, while most of the regions favoured in the NUHM will remain inaccessible. Our best-fit points achieve a satisfactory quality-of-fit, with p-values ranging from 0.21 to 0.35, so that none of the two models studied can be presently excluded at any meaningful significance level.  
  Address Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Blackett Lab, Astrophys Grp, London SW7 2AZ, England, Email: charlotte.strege09@imperial.ac.uk;  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Iop Publishing Ltd Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1475-7516 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000318556200013 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 1445  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Bertone, G.; Calore, F.; Caron, S.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Kim, J.S.; Trotta, R.; Weniger, C. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Global analysis of the pMSSM in light of the Fermi GeV excess: prospects for the LHC Run-II and astroparticle experiments Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication (up) Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics Abbreviated Journal J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys.  
  Volume 04 Issue 4 Pages 037 - 20pp  
  Keywords dark matter detectors; dark matter theory; gamma ray experiments; supersymmetry and cosmology  
  Abstract We present a new global fit of the 19-dimensional phenomenological Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (pMSSM-19) that complies with all the latest experimental results from dark matter indirect, direct and accelerator dark matter searches. We show that the model provides a satisfactory explanation of the excess of gamma rays from the Galactic centre observed by the Fermi Large Area Telescope, assuming that it is produced by the annihilation of neutralinos in the Milky Way halo. We identify two regions that pass all the constraints: the first corresponds to neutralinos with a mass similar to 80 – 100 GeV annihilating into WW with a branching ratio of 95%; the second to heavier neutralinos, with mass similar to 180 – 200 GeV annihilating into (l) over barl with a branching ratio of 87%. We show that neutralinos compatible with the Galactic centre GeV excess will soon be within the reach of LHC run-II – notably through searches for charginos and neutralinos, squarks and light smuons – and of Xenon1T, thanks to its unprecedented sensitivity to spin-dependent cross-section off neutrons.  
  Address [Bertone, Gianfranco; Calore, Francesca; Weniger, Christoph] Univ Amsterdam, GRAPPA, Sci Pk 904, NL-1090 GL Amsterdam, Netherlands, Email: gf.bertone@gmail.com;  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Iop Publishing Ltd Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1475-7516 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000393286400010 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 2951  
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Author Bridges, M.; Cranmer, K.; Feroz, F.; Hobson, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title A coverage study of the CMSSM based on ATLAS sensitivity using fast neural networks techniques Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication (up) Journal of High Energy Physics Abbreviated Journal J. High Energy Phys.  
  Volume 03 Issue 3 Pages 012 - 23pp  
  Keywords Supersymmetry; Phenomenology  
  Abstract We assess the coverage properties of confidence and credible intervals on the CMSSM parameter space inferred from a Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood based on an ATLAS sensitivity study. In order to make those calculations feasible, we introduce a new method based on neural networks to approximate the mapping between CMSSM parameters and weak-scale particle masses. Our method reduces the computational effort needed to sample the CMSSM parameter space by a factor of similar to 10(4) with respect to conventional techniques. We find that both the Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood intervals can significantly over-cover and identify the origin of this effect to physical boundaries in the parameter space. Finally, we point out that the effects intrinsic to the statistical procedure are conflated with simplifications to the likelihood functions from the experiments themselves.  
  Address [Bridges, Michael; Feroz, Farhan; Hobson, Mike] Univ Cambridge, Cavendish Lab, Astrophys Grp, Cambridge CB3 0HE, England, Email: mb435@mrao.cam.ac.uk  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Springer Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1126-6708 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes ISI:000289295200012 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 610  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Feroz, F.; Cranmer, K.; Hobson, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Challenges of profile likelihood evaluation in multi-dimensional SUSY scans Type Journal Article
  Year 2011 Publication (up) Journal of High Energy Physics Abbreviated Journal J. High Energy Phys.  
  Volume 06 Issue 6 Pages 042 - 23pp  
  Keywords Supersymmetry Phenomenology  
  Abstract Statistical inference of the fundamental parameters of supersymmetric theories is a challenging and active endeavor. Several sophisticated algorithms have been employed to this end. While Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling techniques are geared towards Bayesian inference, they have also been used to estimate frequentist confidence intervals based on the profile likelihood ratio. We investigate the performance and appropriate configuration of MULTINEST, a nested sampling based algorithm, when used for profile likelihood-based analyses both on toy models and on the parameter space of the Constrained MSSM. We find that while the standard configuration previously used in the literarture is appropriate for an accurate reconstruction of the Bayesian posterior, the profile likelihood is poorly approximated. We identify a more appropriate MULTINEST configuration for profile likelihood analyses, which gives an excellent exploration of the profile likelihood (albeit at a larger computational cost), including the identification of the global maximum likelihood value. We conclude that with the appropriate configuration MULTINEST is a suitable tool for profile likelihood studies, indicating previous claims to the contrary are not well founded.  
  Address [Feroz, F; Hobson, M] Univ Cambridge, Cavendish Lab, Cambridge CB3 0HE, England, Email: f.feroz@mrao.cam.ac.uk  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Springer Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1126-6708 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000293136500042 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ elepoucu @ Serial 745  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Strege, C.; Bertone, G.; Besjes, G.J.; Caron, S.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strubig, A.; Trotta, R. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Profile likelihood maps of a 15-dimensional MSSM Type Journal Article
  Year 2014 Publication (up) Journal of High Energy Physics Abbreviated Journal J. High Energy Phys.  
  Volume 09 Issue 9 Pages 081 - 59pp  
  Keywords Supersymmetry Phenomenology  
  Abstract We present statistically convergent profile likelihood maps obtained via global fits of a phenomenological Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model with 15 free parameters (the MSSM-15), based on over 250M points. We derive constraints on the model parameters from direct detection limits on dark matter, the Planck relic density measurement and data from accelerator searches. We provide a detailed analysis of the rich phenomenology of this model, and determine the SUSY mass spectrum and dark matter properties that are preferred by current experimental constraints. We evaluate the impact of the measurement of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon (g – 2) on our results, and provide an analysis of scenarios in which the lightest neutralino is a subdominant component of the dark matter. The MSSM-15 parameters are relatively weakly constrained by current data sets, with the exception of the parameters related to dark matter phenomenology (M-1, M-2, mu), which are restricted to the sub-TeV regime, mainly due to the relic density constraint. The mass of the lightest neutralino is found to be < 1.5TeV at 99% C.L., but can extend up to 3 TeV when excluding the g – 2 constraint from the analysis. Low-mass bino-like neutralinos are strongly favoured, with spin-independent scattering cross-sections extending to very small values, similar to 10(-20) pb. ATLAS SUSY null searches strongly impact on this mass range, and thus rule out a region of parameter space that is outside the reach of any current or future direct detection experiment. The best-fit point obtained after inclusion of all data corresponds to a squark mass of 2.3 TeV, a gluino mass of 2.1 TeV and a 130 GeV neutralino with a spin-independent cross-section of 2.4 x 10(-10) pb, which is within the reach of future multi-ton scale direct detection experiments and of the upcoming LHC run at increased centre-of-mass energy.  
  Address [Strege, C.; Trotta, R.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Imperial Ctr Inference & Cosmol, Blackett Lab, Astrophys Grp, London SW7 2AZ, England, Email: charlotte.strege09@imperial.ac.uk;  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Springer Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1029-8479 ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes WOS:000342069700001 Approved no  
  Is ISI yes International Collaboration yes  
  Call Number IFIC @ pastor @ Serial 1934  
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