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Author |
Conde, D.; Castillo, F.L.; Escobar, C.; García, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldívar, B.; Curto, J.J.; Marsal, S.; Torta, J.M. |
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Title |
Forecasting Geomagnetic Storm Disturbances and Their Uncertainties Using Deep Learning |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication  |
Space Weather |
Abbreviated Journal |
Space Weather |
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Volume |
21 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
e2023SW003474 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
geomagnetic storms; deep learning; forecasting; SYM-H; uncertainties; hyper-parameter optimization |
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Abstract |
Severe space weather produced by disturbed conditions on the Sun results in harmful effects both for humans in space and in high-latitude flights, and for technological systems such as spacecraft or communications. Also, geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) flowing on long ground-based conductors, such as power networks, potentially threaten critical infrastructures on Earth. The first step in developing an alarm system against GICs is to forecast them. This is a challenging task given the highly non-linear dependencies of the response of the magnetosphere to these perturbations. In the last few years, modern machine-learning models have shown to be very good at predicting magnetic activity indices. However, such complex models are on the one hand difficult to tune, and on the other hand they are known to bring along potentially large prediction uncertainties which are generally difficult to estimate. In this work we aim at predicting the SYM-H index characterizing geomagnetic storms multiple-hour ahead, using public interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data from the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point and SYM-H data. We implement a type of machine-learning model called long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Our scope is to estimate the prediction uncertainties coming from a deep-learning model in the context of forecasting the SYM-H index. These uncertainties will be essential to set reliable alarm thresholds. The resulting uncertainties turn out to be sizable at the critical stages of the geomagnetic storms. Our methodology includes as well an efficient optimization of important hyper-parameters of the LSTM network and robustness tests. |
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Address |
[Conde, D.; Escobar, C.; Garcia, C.; Garcia, J. E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldivar, B.] Univ Valencia, CSIC, Ctr Mixto, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, Valencia, Spain, Email: Daniel.Conde@ific.uv.es |
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Amer Geophysical Union |
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English |
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Notes |
WOS:001104189700001 |
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no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5804 |
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Author |
ATLAS Collaboration (Aaboud, M. et al); Alvarez Piqueras, D.; Bailey, A.J.; Barranco Navarro, L.; Cabrera Urban, S.; Castillo, F.L.; Castillo Gimenez, V.; Cerda Alberich, L.; Costa, M.J.; Escobar, C.; Estrada Pastor, O.; Ferrer, A.; Fiorini, L.; Fullana Torregrosa, E.; Fuster, J.; Garcia, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Gonzalez de la Hoz, S.; Higon-Rodriguez, E.; Jimenez Pena, J.; Lacasta, C.; Lozano Bahilo, J.J.; Madaffari, D.; Mamuzic, J.; Marti-Garcia, S.; Melini, D.; Miñano, M.; Mitsou, V.A.; Rodriguez Bosca, S.; Rodriguez Rodriguez, D.; Ruiz-Martinez, A.; Salt, J.; Santra, A.; Soldevila, U.; Sanchez, J.; Valero, A.; Valls Ferrer, J.A.; Vos, M. |
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Title |
Observation of Higgs boson production in association with a top quark pair at the LHC with the ATLAS detector |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Physics Letters B |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Lett. B |
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Volume |
784 |
Issue |
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Pages |
173-191 |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
The observation of Higgs boson production in association with a top quark pair (t (t) over barH), based on the analysis of proton-proton collision data at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV recorded with the ATLAS detector at the Large Hadron Collider, is presented. Using data corresponding to integrated luminosities of up to 79.8 fb(-1), and considering Higgs boson decays into b (b) over bar, WW*, tau(+)tau(-), gamma gamma, and ZZ*, the observed significance is 5.8 standard deviations, compared to an expectation of 4.9 standard deviations. Combined with the t (t) over barH searches using a dataset corresponding to integrated luminosities of 4.5 fb(-1) at 7 TeV and 20.3 fb(-1) at 8 TeV, the observed (expected) significance is 6.3 (5.1) standard deviations. Assuming Standard Model branching fractions, the total t (t) over barH production cross section at 13 TeV is measured to be 670 +/- 90(stat.)(-100)(+110)(syst.) fb, in agreement with the Standard Model prediction. |
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Address |
[Duvnjak, D.; Jackson, P.; Oliver, J. L.; Petridis, A.; Qureshi, A.; Sharma, A. S.; White, M. J.] Univ Adelaide, Dept Phys, Adelaide, SA, Australia, Email: atlas.pulications@cern.ch |
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Elsevier Science Bv |
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English |
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Series Volume |
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ISSN |
0370-2693 |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000445781600029 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
3746 |
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Author |
ATLAS Collaboration (Aaboud, M. et al); Alvarez Piqueras, D.; Bailey, A.J.; Barranco Navarro, L.; Cabrera Urban, S.; Castillo, F.L.; Castillo Gimenez, V.; Cerda Alberich, L.; Costa, M.J.; Escobar, C.; Estrada Pastor, O.; Ferrer, A.; Fiorini, L.; Fuster, J.; Garcia, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Gonzalez de la Hoz, S.; Higon-Rodriguez, E.; Jimenez Pena, J.; Lacasta, C.; Lozano Bahilo, J.J.; Madaffari, D.; Mamuzic, J.; Marti-Garcia, S.; Melini, D.; Miñano, M.; Mitsou, V.A.; Rodriguez Bosca, S.; Rodriguez Rodriguez, D.; Salt, J.; Soldevila, U.; Sanchez, J.; Valero, A.; Valls Ferrer, J.A.; Vos, M. |
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Title |
Search for resonant W Z production in the fully leptonic final state in proton-proton collisions at root s=13 TeV with the ATLAS detector |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Physics Letters B |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Lett. B |
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Volume |
787 |
Issue |
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Pages |
68-88 |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
A search for a heavy resonance decaying into WZ in the fully leptonic channel (electrons and muons) is performed. It is based on proton-proton collision data collected by the ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 36.1 fb(-1). No significant excess is observed over the Standard Model predictions and limits are set on the production cross section times branching ratio of a heavy vector particle produced either in quark-antiquark fusion or through vector-boson fusion. Constraints are also obtained on the mass and couplings of a singly charged Higgs boson, in the Georgi-Machacek model, produced through vector-boson fusion. (C) 2018 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. |
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Address |
[Duvnjak, D.; Jackson, P.; Oliver, J. L.; Petridis, A.; Qureshi, A.; Sharma, A. S.; White, M. J.] Univ Adelaide, Dept Phys, Adelaide, SA, Australia |
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Publisher |
Elsevier Science Bv |
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English |
Summary Language |
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0370-2693 |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000452404100011 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
3828 |
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| Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
ATLAS Collaboration (Aaboud, M. et al); Alvarez Piqueras, D.; Aparisi Pozo, J.A.; Bailey, A.J.; Barranco Navarro, L.; Cabrera Urban, S.; Castillo, F.L.; Castillo Gimenez, V.; Cerda Alberich, L.; Costa, M.J.; Escobar, C.; Estrada Pastor, O.; Ferrer, A.; Fiorini, L.; Fullana Torregrosa, E.; Fuster, J.; Garcia, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Gonzalez de la Hoz, S.; Higon-Rodriguez, E.; Jimenez Pena, J.; Lacasta, C.; Lozano Bahilo, J.J.; Madaffari, D.; Mamuzic, J.; Marti-Garcia, S.; Melini, D.; Miñano, M.; Mitsou, V.A.; Rodriguez Bosca, S.; Rodriguez Rodriguez, D.; Ruiz-Martinez, A.; Salt, J.; Santra, A.; Soldevila, U.; Sanchez, J.; Valero, A.; Valls Ferrer, J.A.; Vos, M. |
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Title |
Observation of H -> b(b)over-bar decays and V H production with the ATLAS detector |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Physics Letters B |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Lett. B |
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Volume |
786 |
Issue |
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Pages |
59-86 |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
A search for the decay of the Standard Model Higgs boson into a b (b) over bar pair when produced in association with a W or Z boson is performed with the ATLAS detector. The data, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 79.8 fb(-1) were collected in proton-proton collisions during Run 2 of the Large Hadron Collider at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV. For a Higgs boson mass of 125 GeV, an excess of events over the expected background from other Standard Model processes is found with an observed (expected) significance of 4.9 (4.3) standard deviations. A combination with the results from other searches in Run 1 and in Run 2 for the Higgs boson in the bb decay mode is performed, which yields an observed (expected) significance of 5.4 (5.5) standard deviations, thus providing direct observation of the Higgs boson decay into b-quarks. The ratio of the measured event yield for a Higgs boson decaying into b (b) over bar to the Standard Model expectation is 1.01 +/- 0.12(stat.) (-0.15) (+0.16)(syst.). Additionally, a combination of Run 2 results searching for the Higgs boson produced in association with a vector boson yields an observed (expected) significance of 5.3 (4.8) standard deviations. |
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Address |
[Duvnjak, D.; Jackson, P.; Oliver, J. L.; Petridis, A.; Qureshi, A.; Sharma, A. S.; White, M. J.] Univ Adelaide, Dept Phys, Adelaide, SA, Australia |
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Corporate Author |
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Publisher |
Elsevier Science Bv |
Place of Publication |
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English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0370-2693 |
ISBN |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000452318400011 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
3836 |
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| Permanent link to this record |
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Author |
ATLAS Collaboration (Aaboud, M. et al); Alvarez Piqueras, D.; Bailey, A.J.; Barranco Navarro, L.; Cabrera Urban, S.; Castillo, F.L.; Castillo Gimenez, V.; Cerda Alberich, L.; Costa, M.J.; Escobar, C.; Estrada Pastor, O.; Ferrer, A.; Fiorini, L.; Fuster, J.; Garcia, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Gonzalez de la Hoz, S.; Higon-Rodriguez, E.; Jimenez Pena, J.; Lacasta, C.; Lozano Bahilo, J.J.; Madaffari, D.; Mamuzic, J.; Marti-Garcia, S.; Melini, D.; Miñano, M.; Mitsou, V.A.; Pedraza Lopez, S.; Rodriguez Bosca, S.; Rodriguez Rodriguez, D.; Salt, J.; Soldevila, U.; Sanchez, J.; Valero, A.; Valls Ferrer, J.A.; Vos, M. |
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Title |
Combined measurement of differential and total cross sections in the H -> gamma gamma and the H -> ZZ* -> 4l decay channels at root s=13 TeV with the ATLAS detector |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Physics Letters B |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Lett. B |
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Volume |
786 |
Issue |
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Pages |
114-133 |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
A combined measurement of differential and inclusive total cross sections of Higgs boson production is performed using 36.1 fb(-1) of 13 TeV proton-proton collision data produced by the LHC and recorded by the ATLAS detector in 2015 and 2016. Cross sections are obtained from measured H -> gamma gamma and H -> ZZ* -> 4l event yields, which are combined taking into account detector efficiencies, resolution, acceptances and branching fractions. The total Higgs boson production cross section is measured to be 57.0(-5.9)(+6.0) (stat.) (+4.0)(-3.3) (syst.) pb, in agreement with the Standard Model prediction. Differential cross-section measurements are presented for the Higgs boson transverse momentum distribution, Higgs boson rapidity, number of jets produced together with the Higgs boson, and the transverse momentum of the leading jet. The results from the two decay channels are found to be compatible, and their combination agrees with the Standard Model predictions. |
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Address |
[Duvnjak, D.; Jackson, P.; Oliver, J. L.; Petridis, A.; Qureshi, A.; Sharma, A. S.; White, M. J.] Univ Adelaide, Dept Phys, Adelaide, SA, Australia |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Elsevier Science Bv |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0370-2693 |
ISBN |
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Medium |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000452318400016 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
3837 |
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| Permanent link to this record |
