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Author |
Conde, D.; Castillo, F.L.; Escobar, C.; García, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldívar, B.; Curto, J.J.; Marsal, S.; Torta, J.M. |
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Title |
Forecasting Geomagnetic Storm Disturbances and Their Uncertainties Using Deep Learning |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Space Weather |
Abbreviated Journal |
Space Weather |
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Volume |
21 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
e2023SW003474 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
geomagnetic storms; deep learning; forecasting; SYM-H; uncertainties; hyper-parameter optimization |
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Abstract |
Severe space weather produced by disturbed conditions on the Sun results in harmful effects both for humans in space and in high-latitude flights, and for technological systems such as spacecraft or communications. Also, geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) flowing on long ground-based conductors, such as power networks, potentially threaten critical infrastructures on Earth. The first step in developing an alarm system against GICs is to forecast them. This is a challenging task given the highly non-linear dependencies of the response of the magnetosphere to these perturbations. In the last few years, modern machine-learning models have shown to be very good at predicting magnetic activity indices. However, such complex models are on the one hand difficult to tune, and on the other hand they are known to bring along potentially large prediction uncertainties which are generally difficult to estimate. In this work we aim at predicting the SYM-H index characterizing geomagnetic storms multiple-hour ahead, using public interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data from the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point and SYM-H data. We implement a type of machine-learning model called long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Our scope is to estimate the prediction uncertainties coming from a deep-learning model in the context of forecasting the SYM-H index. These uncertainties will be essential to set reliable alarm thresholds. The resulting uncertainties turn out to be sizable at the critical stages of the geomagnetic storms. Our methodology includes as well an efficient optimization of important hyper-parameters of the LSTM network and robustness tests. |
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Address |
[Conde, D.; Escobar, C.; Garcia, C.; Garcia, J. E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldivar, B.] Univ Valencia, CSIC, Ctr Mixto, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, Valencia, Spain, Email: Daniel.Conde@ific.uv.es |
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Amer Geophysical Union |
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English |
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WOS:001104189700001 |
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no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5804 |
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Author |
LHCb Collaboration (Aaij, R. et al); Jaimes Elles, S.J.; Jashal, B.K.; Martinez-Vidal, F.; Oyanguren, A.; Rebollo De Miguel, M.; Ruiz Vidal, J.; Sanderswood, I.; Zhuo, J. |
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Title |
Observation and branching fraction measurement of the decay Ξb- → Λ0 bπ- |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Physical Review D |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Rev. D |
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Volume |
108 |
Issue |
7 |
Pages |
072002 - 16pp |
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Abstract |
The decay E-b -> A0bx-- is observed using a proton-proton collision data sample collected at center-of-ffiffimass energy p s 1/4 13 TeV with the LHCb detector, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 5.5 fb-1. This process is mediated by the s -> uu over bar d quark-level transition, where the b quark in the E-b baryon is a spectator in the decay. Averaging the results obtained using the two A0b decay modes, A0b -> A thorn c x-- and A0b -> A thorn c x--x- thorn x--, the relative production ratio is measured to be ofE-b =fA0b thorn BoE-b -> A0bx-- thorn 1/4 o7.3 ⠂ 0.8 ⠂ 0.6 thorn x 10-4. Here the uncertainties are statistical and systematic, respectively, and fE-bofA0b thorn is the fragmentation fraction for a b quark into a E-b (A0b) baryon. Using an independent measurement of fE-b =fA0b, the branching fraction BoE-b -> A0bx-- thorn 1/4 o0.89 ⠂ 0.10 ⠂ 0.07 ⠂ 0.29 thorn % is obtained, where the last uncertainty is due to the assumed SU(3) flavor symmetry in the determination of fE-b =fA0b. |
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Address |
[Baptista de Souza Leite, J.; Bediaga, I. B.; Cruz Torres, M.; De Freitas Carneiro Da Graca, U.; De Miranda, J. M.; dos Reis, A. C.; Falcao, L. N.; Gomes, A.; Massafferri, A.; Santoro, L.; Torres Machado, D.] Ctr Brasileiro Pesquisas Fis CBPF, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, Email: zirui.w@cern.ch |
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Amer Physical Soc |
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English |
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ISSN |
2470-0010 |
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Notes |
WOS:001102989700001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5895 |
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Author |
LHCb Collaboration (Aaij, R. et al); Jaimes Elles, S.J.; Jashal, B.K.; Martinez-Vidal, F.; Oyanguren, A.; Rebollo De Miguel, M.; Remon Alepuz, C.; Ruiz Vidal, J.; Sanderswood, I.; Zhuo, J. |
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Title |
Observation of New Baryons in the Ξb- π+π- and Ξb0π+π- Systems |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Physical Review Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Rev. Lett. |
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Volume |
131 |
Issue |
17 |
Pages |
171901 - 11pp |
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Abstract |
The first observation and study of two new baryonic structures in the final state Xi(0)(b)pi(+)pi(-) and the confirmation of the Xi(b)(6100)(-) state in the Xi(-)(b)pi(+)pi(-) decay mode are reported using proton-proton collision data collected by the LHCb experiment, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 9 fb(-1). In addition, the properties of the known Xi(b)*(0), Xi(b)'(-) and Xi(b)*(-) resonances are measured with improved precision. The new decay mode of the Xi(0)(b) baryon to the Xi(+)(c) pi(-) pi(+) pi(-) final state is observed and exploited for the first time in these measurements. |
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Address |
[Leite, J. Baptista de Souza; Bediaga, I. B.; Torres, M. Cruz; Da Graca, U. De Freitas Carneiro; Miranda, J. M. De; dos Reis, A. C.; Falcao, L. N.; Fantini, L.; Gomes, A.] Ctr Brasileiro Pesquisas Fis CBPF, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil |
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Amer Physical Soc |
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English |
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ISSN |
0031-9007 |
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Notes |
WOS:001102957700005 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5898 |
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Author |
LHCb Collaboration (Aaij, R. et al); Jaimes Elles, S.J.; Jashal, B.K.; Martinez-Vidal, F.; Oyanguren, A.; Rebollo De Miguel, M.; Remon Alepuz, C.; Ruiz Vidal, J.; Sanderswood, I.; Zhuo, J. |
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Title |
Precision Measurement of CP Violation in the Penguin-Mediated Decay B0s → φφ |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Physical Review Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Rev. Lett. |
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Volume |
131 |
Issue |
17 |
Pages |
171802 - 12pp |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
A flavor-tagged time-dependent angular analysis of the decay B0s -> phi phi is performed using pp collision integrated luminosity of 6 fb-1. The CP-violating phase and direct CP-violation parameter are measured to s = -0.042 +/- 0.075 +/- 0.009 rad and l lambda l = 1.004 +/- 0.030 +/- 0.009, respectively, assuming the same values for all polarization states of the phi phi system. In these results, the first uncertainties are statistical and the second systematic. These parameters are also determined separately for each polarization state, showing no evidence for polarization dependence. The results are combined with previous LHCb measurements using pp collisions at center-of-mass energies of 7 and 8 TeV, yielding phi sss over bar s = -0.074 +/- 0.069 rad and l lambda l = 1.009 +/- 0.030. This is the most precise study of time-dependent CP violation in a penguindominated B meson decay. The results are consistent with CP symmetry and with the standard model predictions. |
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Address |
[Leite, J. Baptista de Souza; Bediaga, I. B.; Torres, M. Cruz; Da Graca, U. De Freitas Carneiro; Miranda, J. M. De; dos Reis, A. C.; Falcao, L. N.; Fantini, L.; Gomes, A.] Ctr Brasileiro Pesquisas Fis CBPF, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil |
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Publisher |
Amer Physical Soc |
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English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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0031-9007 |
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Notes |
WOS:001102957700001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5897 |
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Author |
LHCb Collaboration (Aaij, R. et al); Jaimes Elles, S.J.; Jashal, B.K.; Martinez-Vidal, F.; Oyanguren, A.; Rebollo De Miguel, M.; Remon Alepuz, C.; Ruiz Vidal, J.; Sanderswood, I. |
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Title |
Observation of New Ω0c States Decaying to the Ξc plus K- Final State |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Physical Review Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Rev. Lett. |
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Volume |
131 |
Issue |
13 |
Pages |
131902 - 11pp |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
Two new excited states, S2c(3185)0 and S2c(3327)0, are observed in the E thorn c K- invariant-mass spectrum using proton-proton collision data collected by the LHCb experiment, corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 9 fb-1. Five previously observed excited S20c states are confirmed, namely S2c(3000)0, S2c(3050)0, S2c(3065)0, S2c(3090)0, and S2c(3119)0. The masses and widths of these seven states are measured with the highest precision to date. |
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Address |
[Baptista de Souza Leite, J.; Bediaga, I. B.; Cruz Torres, M.; De Freitas Carneiro Da Graca, U.; De Miranda, J. M.; dos Reis, A. C.; Falcao, L. N.; Gomes, A.; Massafferri, A.; Torres Machado, D.] Ctr Brasileiro Pesquisas Fis, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Amer Physical Soc |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0031-9007 |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:001102953400004 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5952 |
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| Permanent link to this record |
