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Author |
Conde, D.; Castillo, F.L.; Escobar, C.; García, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldívar, B.; Curto, J.J.; Marsal, S.; Torta, J.M. |
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Title |
Forecasting Geomagnetic Storm Disturbances and Their Uncertainties Using Deep Learning |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Space Weather |
Abbreviated Journal |
Space Weather |
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Volume |
21 |
Issue  |
11 |
Pages |
e2023SW003474 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
geomagnetic storms; deep learning; forecasting; SYM-H; uncertainties; hyper-parameter optimization |
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Abstract |
Severe space weather produced by disturbed conditions on the Sun results in harmful effects both for humans in space and in high-latitude flights, and for technological systems such as spacecraft or communications. Also, geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) flowing on long ground-based conductors, such as power networks, potentially threaten critical infrastructures on Earth. The first step in developing an alarm system against GICs is to forecast them. This is a challenging task given the highly non-linear dependencies of the response of the magnetosphere to these perturbations. In the last few years, modern machine-learning models have shown to be very good at predicting magnetic activity indices. However, such complex models are on the one hand difficult to tune, and on the other hand they are known to bring along potentially large prediction uncertainties which are generally difficult to estimate. In this work we aim at predicting the SYM-H index characterizing geomagnetic storms multiple-hour ahead, using public interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data from the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point and SYM-H data. We implement a type of machine-learning model called long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Our scope is to estimate the prediction uncertainties coming from a deep-learning model in the context of forecasting the SYM-H index. These uncertainties will be essential to set reliable alarm thresholds. The resulting uncertainties turn out to be sizable at the critical stages of the geomagnetic storms. Our methodology includes as well an efficient optimization of important hyper-parameters of the LSTM network and robustness tests. |
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Address |
[Conde, D.; Escobar, C.; Garcia, C.; Garcia, J. E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldivar, B.] Univ Valencia, CSIC, Ctr Mixto, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, Valencia, Spain, Email: Daniel.Conde@ific.uv.es |
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Amer Geophysical Union |
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English |
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Notes |
WOS:001104189700001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5804 |
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Author |
Kasieczka, G. et al; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
The LHC Olympics 2020: a community challenge for anomaly detection in high energy physics |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2021 |
Publication |
Reports on Progress in Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
Rep. Prog. Phys. |
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Volume |
84 |
Issue |
12 |
Pages |
124201 - 64pp |
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Keywords |
anomaly detection; machine learning; unsupervised learning; weakly supervised learning; semisupervised learning; beyond the standard model; model-agnostic methods |
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Abstract |
A new paradigm for data-driven, model-agnostic new physics searches at colliders is emerging, and aims to leverage recent breakthroughs in anomaly detection and machine learning. In order to develop and benchmark new anomaly detection methods within this framework, it is essential to have standard datasets. To this end, we have created the LHC Olympics 2020, a community challenge accompanied by a set of simulated collider events. Participants in these Olympics have developed their methods using an R&D dataset and then tested them on black boxes: datasets with an unknown anomaly (or not). Methods made use of modern machine learning tools and were based on unsupervised learning (autoencoders, generative adversarial networks, normalizing flows), weakly supervised learning, and semi-supervised learning. This paper will review the LHC Olympics 2020 challenge, including an overview of the competition, a description of methods deployed in the competition, lessons learned from the experience, and implications for data analyses with future datasets as well as future colliders. |
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Address |
[Kasieczka, Gregor] Univ Hamburg, Inst Expt Phys, Hamburg, Germany, Email: gregor.kasieczka@uni-hamburg.de; |
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IOP Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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ISSN |
0034-4885 |
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Notes |
WOS:000727698500001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5039 |
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Author |
Escudero, M.; Rius, N.; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
Sterile neutrino portal to Dark Matter I: the U(1)(B-L) case |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2017 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
02 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
045 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
Beyond Standard Model; Neutrino Physics |
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Abstract |
In this paper we explore the possibility that the sterile neutrino and Dark Matter sectors in the Universe have a common origin. We study the consequences of this assumption in the simple case of coupling the dark sector to the Standard Model via a global U(1)(B-L), broken down spontaneously by a dark scalar. This dark scalar provides masses to the dark fermions and communicates with the Higgs via a Higgs portal coupling. We find an interesting interplay between Dark Matter annihilation to dark scalars – the CP-even that mixes with the Higgs and the CP-odd which becomes a Goldstone boson, the Majoron and heavy neutrinos, as well as collider probes via the coupling to the Higgs. Moreover, Dark Matter annihilation into sterile neutrinos and its subsequent decay to gauge bosons and quarks, charged leptons or neutrinos lead to indirect detection signatures which are close to current bounds on the gamma ray flux from the galactic center and dwarf galaxies. |
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Address |
[Escudero, Miguel; Rius, Nuria] Univ Valencia, Dept Fis Teor, CSIC, C Catedrat Jose Beltran 2, E-46980 Paterna, Spain, Email: miguel.escudero@ific.uv.es; |
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Publisher |
Springer |
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English |
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ISSN |
1029-8479 |
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Notes |
WOS:000394747600008 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
3018 |
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Author |
LHC BSM Reinterpretation Forum (Abdallah, W. et al); Mitsou, V.A.; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
Reinterpretation of LHC results for new physics: status and recommendations after run 2 |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2020 |
Publication |
Scipost Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
SciPost Phys. |
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Volume |
9 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
022 - 45pp |
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Abstract |
We report on the status of efforts to improve the reinterpretation of searches and measurements at the LHC in terms of models for new physics, in the context of the LHC Reinterpretation Forum. We detail current experimental offerings in direct searches for new particles, measurements, technical implementations and Open Data, and provide a set of recommendations for further improving the presentation of LHC results in order to better enable reinterpretation in the future. We also provide a brief description of existing software reinterpretation frameworks and recent global analyses of new physics that make use of the current data. |
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Address |
[Abdallah, Waleed; Dutta, Juhi] Harish Chandra Res Inst HBNI, Allahabad 211019, Uttar Pradesh, India, Email: Andy.Buckley@glasgow.ac.uk; |
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Scipost Foundation |
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English |
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Series Volume |
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ISSN |
2542-4653 |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000573102600007 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
4547 |
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Author |
Khosa, C.K.; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
Anomaly Awareness |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Scipost Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
SciPost Phys. |
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Volume |
15 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
053 - 24pp |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
We present a new algorithm for anomaly detection called Anomaly Awareness. The algorithm learns about normal events while being made aware of the anomalies through a modification of the cost function. We show how this method works in different Particle Physics situations and in standard Computer Vision tasks. For example, we apply the method to images from a Fat Jet topology generated by Standard Model Top and QCD events, and test it against an array of new physics scenarios, including Higgs production with EFT effects and resonances decaying into two, three or four subjets. We find that the algorithm is effective identifying anomalies not seen before, and becomes robust as we make it aware of a varied-enough set of anomalies. |
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Address |
[Khosa, Charanjit K.] Univ Manchester, Dept Phys & Astron, Manchester M13 9PL, England |
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Scipost Foundation |
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English |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2542-4653 |
ISBN |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:001048488200002 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5610 |
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