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Author |
Trotta, R.; Johannesson, G.; Moskalenko, I.V.; Porter, T.A.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strong, A.W. |
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Title |
Constraints on Cosmic-Ray Propagation Models from a Global Bayesian Analysis |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Astrophysical Journal |
Abbreviated Journal |
Astrophys. J. |
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Volume |
729 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
106 - 16pp |
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Keywords |
astroparticle physics; cosmic rays; diffusion; Galaxy: general; ISM: general; methods: statistical |
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Abstract |
Research in many areas of modern physics such as, e. g., indirect searches for dark matter and particle acceleration in supernova remnant shocks rely heavily on studies of cosmic rays (CRs) and associated diffuse emissions (radio, microwave, X-rays, gamma-rays). While very detailed numerical models of CR propagation exist, a quantitative statistical analysis of such models has been so far hampered by the large computational effort that those models require. Although statistical analyses have been carried out before using semi-analytical models (where the computation is much faster), the evaluation of the results obtained from such models is difficult, as they necessarily suffer from many simplifying assumptions. The main objective of this paper is to present a working method for a full Bayesian parameter estimation for a numerical CR propagation model. For this study, we use the GALPROP code, the most advanced of its kind, which uses astrophysical information, and nuclear and particle data as inputs to self-consistently predict CRs, gamma-rays, synchrotron, and other observables. We demonstrate that a full Bayesian analysis is possible using nested sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (implemented in the SuperBayeS code) despite the heavy computational demands of a numerical propagation code. The best-fit values of parameters found in this analysis are in agreement with previous, significantly simpler, studies also based on GALPROP. |
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Address |
[Trotta, R.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Astrophys Grp, Blackett Lab, London SW7 2AZ, England |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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ISSN  |
0004-637x |
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Conference |
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Notes |
ISI:000288608700029 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
541 |
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Author |
Johannesson, G.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Vincent, A.C.; Moskalenko, I.V.; Orlando, E.; Porter, T.A.; Strong, A.W.; Trotta, R.; Feroz, F.; Graff, P.; Hobson, M.P. |
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Title |
Bayesian analysis of cosmic-ray propagation: evidence against homogeneous diffusion |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2016 |
Publication |
Astrophysical Journal |
Abbreviated Journal |
Astrophys. J. |
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Volume |
824 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
16 - 19pp |
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Keywords |
astroparticle physics; cosmic rays; diffusion; Galaxy: general; ISM: general; methods: statistical |
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Abstract |
We present the results of the most complete scan of the parameter space for cosmic ray (CR) injection and propagation. We perform a Bayesian search of the main GALPROP parameters, using the MultiNest nested sampling algorithm, augmented by the BAMBI neural network machine-learning package. This is the first study to separate out low-mass isotopes (p, (p) over bar and He) from the usual light elements (Be, B, C, N, and O). We find that the propagation parameters that best-fit p, (p) over bar, and He data are significantly different from those that fit light elements, including the B/C and Be-10/Be-9 secondary-to-primary ratios normally used to calibrate propagation parameters. This suggests that each set of species is probing a very different interstellar medium, and that the standard approach of calibrating propagation parameters using B/C can lead to incorrect results. We present posterior distributions and best-fit parameters for propagation of both sets of nuclei, as well as for the injection abundances of elements from H to Si. The input GALDEF files with these new parameters will be included in an upcoming public GALPROP update. |
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Address |
[Johannesson, G.] Univ Iceland, Inst Sci, Dunhaga 3, IS-107 Reykjavik, Iceland |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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ISSN |
0004-637x |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000377937300016 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
2727 |
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Author |
Strege, C.; Bertone, G.; Besjes, G.J.; Caron, S.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strubig, A.; Trotta, R. |
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Title |
Profile likelihood maps of a 15-dimensional MSSM |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
09 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
081 - 59pp |
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Keywords |
Supersymmetry Phenomenology |
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Abstract |
We present statistically convergent profile likelihood maps obtained via global fits of a phenomenological Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model with 15 free parameters (the MSSM-15), based on over 250M points. We derive constraints on the model parameters from direct detection limits on dark matter, the Planck relic density measurement and data from accelerator searches. We provide a detailed analysis of the rich phenomenology of this model, and determine the SUSY mass spectrum and dark matter properties that are preferred by current experimental constraints. We evaluate the impact of the measurement of the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon (g – 2) on our results, and provide an analysis of scenarios in which the lightest neutralino is a subdominant component of the dark matter. The MSSM-15 parameters are relatively weakly constrained by current data sets, with the exception of the parameters related to dark matter phenomenology (M-1, M-2, mu), which are restricted to the sub-TeV regime, mainly due to the relic density constraint. The mass of the lightest neutralino is found to be < 1.5TeV at 99% C.L., but can extend up to 3 TeV when excluding the g – 2 constraint from the analysis. Low-mass bino-like neutralinos are strongly favoured, with spin-independent scattering cross-sections extending to very small values, similar to 10(-20) pb. ATLAS SUSY null searches strongly impact on this mass range, and thus rule out a region of parameter space that is outside the reach of any current or future direct detection experiment. The best-fit point obtained after inclusion of all data corresponds to a squark mass of 2.3 TeV, a gluino mass of 2.1 TeV and a 130 GeV neutralino with a spin-independent cross-section of 2.4 x 10(-10) pb, which is within the reach of future multi-ton scale direct detection experiments and of the upcoming LHC run at increased centre-of-mass energy. |
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Address |
[Strege, C.; Trotta, R.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Imperial Ctr Inference & Cosmol, Blackett Lab, Astrophys Grp, London SW7 2AZ, England, Email: charlotte.strege09@imperial.ac.uk; |
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Publisher |
Springer |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1029-8479 |
ISBN |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000342069700001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
1934 |
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Author |
Liem, S.; Bertone, G.; Calore, F.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Tait, T.M.P.; Trotta, R.; Weniger, C. |
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Title |
Effective field theory of dark matter: a global analysis |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2016 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
09 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
077 - 22pp |
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Keywords |
Beyond Standard Model; Cosmology of Theories beyond the SM; Effective field theories |
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Abstract |
We present global fits of an effective field theory description of real, and complex scalar dark matter candidates. We simultaneously take into account all possible dimension 6 operators consisting of dark matter bilinears and gauge invariant combinations of quark and gluon fields. We derive constraints on the free model parameters for both the real (five parameters) and complex (seven) scalar dark matter models obtained by combining Planck data on the cosmic microwave background, direct detection limits from LUX, and indirect detection limits from the Fermi Large Area Telescope. We find that for real scalars indirect dark matter searches disfavour a dark matter particle mass below 100 GeV. For the complex scalar dark matter particle current data have a limited impact due to the presence of operators that lead to p-wave annihilation, and also do not contribute to the spin-independent scattering cross-section. Although current data are not informative enough to strongly constrain the theory parameter space, we demonstrate the power of our formalism to reconstruct the theoretical parameters compatible with an actual dark matter detection, by assuming that the excess of gamma rays observed by the Fermi Large Area Telescope towards the Galactic centre is entirely due to dark matter annihilations. Please note that the excess can very well be due to astrophysical sources such as millisecond pulsars. We find that scalar dark matter interacting via effective field theory operators can in principle explain the Galactic centre excess, but that such interpretation is in strong tension with the non-detection of gamma rays from dwarf galaxies in the real scalar case. In the complex scalar case there is enough freedom to relieve the tension. |
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Address |
[Liem, Sebastian; Bertone, Gianfranco; Calore, Francesca; Weniger, Christoph] Univ Amsterdam, GRAPPA, Sci Pk 904, NL-1098 XH Amsterdam, Netherlands, Email: sebastian.liem@uva.nl; |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Springer |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1029-8479 |
ISBN |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000383545500003 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
2864 |
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Author |
Bridges, M.; Cranmer, K.; Feroz, F.; Hobson, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. |
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Title |
A coverage study of the CMSSM based on ATLAS sensitivity using fast neural networks techniques |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
03 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
012 - 23pp |
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Keywords |
Supersymmetry; Phenomenology |
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Abstract |
We assess the coverage properties of confidence and credible intervals on the CMSSM parameter space inferred from a Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood based on an ATLAS sensitivity study. In order to make those calculations feasible, we introduce a new method based on neural networks to approximate the mapping between CMSSM parameters and weak-scale particle masses. Our method reduces the computational effort needed to sample the CMSSM parameter space by a factor of similar to 10(4) with respect to conventional techniques. We find that both the Bayesian posterior and the profile likelihood intervals can significantly over-cover and identify the origin of this effect to physical boundaries in the parameter space. Finally, we point out that the effects intrinsic to the statistical procedure are conflated with simplifications to the likelihood functions from the experiments themselves. |
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Address |
[Bridges, Michael; Feroz, Farhan; Hobson, Mike] Univ Cambridge, Cavendish Lab, Astrophys Grp, Cambridge CB3 0HE, England, Email: mb435@mrao.cam.ac.uk |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Springer |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1126-6708 |
ISBN |
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Area |
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Conference |
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Notes |
ISI:000289295200012 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
610 |
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