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Author |
Caron, S.; Eckner, C.; Hendriks, L.; Johannesson, G.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Zaharijas, G. |
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Title |
Mind the gap: the discrepancy between simulation and reality drives interpretations of the Galactic Center Excess |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
06 |
Issue |
6 |
Pages  |
013 - 56pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter simulations; gamma ray experiments; Machine learning; millisecond pulsars |
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Abstract |
The Galactic Center Excess (GCE) in GeV gamma rays has been debated for over a decade, with the possibility that it might be due to dark matter annihilation or undetected point sources such as millisecond pulsars (MSPs). This study investigates how the gamma-ray emission model (-yEM) used in Galactic center analyses affects the interpretation of the GCE's nature. To address this issue, we construct an ultra-fast and powerful inference pipeline based on convolutional Deep Ensemble Networks. We explore the two main competing hypotheses for the GCE using a set of-yEMs with increasing parametric freedom. We calculate the fractional contribution (fsrc) of a dim population of MSPs to the total luminosity of the GCE and analyze its dependence on the complexity of the ryEM. For the simplest ryEM, we obtain fsrc = 0.10 f 0.07, while the most complex model yields fsrc = 0.79 f 0.24. In conclusion, we find that the statement about the nature of the GCE (dark matter or not) strongly depends on the assumed ryEM. The quoted results for fsrc do not account for the additional uncertainty arising from the fact that the observed gamma-ray sky is out-of-distribution concerning the investigated ryEM iterations. We quantify the reality gap between our ryEMs using deep-learning-based One-Class Deep Support Vector Data Description networks, revealing that all employed ryEMs have gaps to reality. Our study casts doubt on the validity of previous conclusions regarding the GCE and dark matter, and underscores the urgent need to account for the reality gap and consider previously overlooked “out of domain” uncertainties in future interpretations. |
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Address |
[Caron, Sascha; Hendriks, Luc] Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Theoret High Energy Phys, Heyendaalseweg 135, NL-6525 AJ Nijmegen, Netherlands, Email: scaron@nikhef.nl; |
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IOP Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:001025516000009 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5576 |
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Author |
Amoroso, S.; Caron, S.; Jueid, A.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Skands, P. |
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Title |
Estimating QCD uncertainties in Monte Carlo event generators for gamma-ray dark matter searches |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
05 |
Issue |
5 |
Pages |
007 - 44pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter simulations; dark matter theory; gamma ray theory |
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Abstract |
Motivated by the recent galactic center gamma-ray excess identified in the Fermi-LAT data, we perform a detailed study of QCD fragmentation uncertainties in the modeling of the energy spectra of gamma-rays from Dark-Matter (DM) annihilation. When Dark-Matter particles annihilate to coloured final states, either directly or via decays such as W(*) -> qq-', photons are produced from a complex sequence of shower, hadronisation and hadron decays. In phenomenological studies their energy spectra are typically computed using Monte Carlo event generators. These results have however intrinsic uncertainties due to the specific model used and the choice of model parameters, which are difficult to asses and which are typically neglected. We derive a new set of hadronisation parameters (tunes) for the PYTHIA 8.2 Monte Carlo generator from a fit to LEP and SLD data at the Z peak. For the first time we also derive a conservative set of uncertainties on the shower and hadronisation model parameters. Their impact on the gamma-ray energy spectra is evaluated and discussed for a range of DM masses and annihilation channels. The spectra and their uncertainties are also provided in tabulated form for future use. The fragmentation-parameter uncertainties may be useful for collider studies as well. |
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Address |
[Amoroso, Simone] DESY, Notkestr 85, D-22607 Hamburg, Germany, Email: simone.amoroso@desy.de; |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000467288200002 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
4006 |
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Author |
Achterberg, A.; Amoroso, S.; Caron, S.; Hendriks, L.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Weniger, C. |
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Title |
A description of the Galactic Center excess in the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
08 |
Issue |
8 |
Pages |
006 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter theory; dark matter simulations; dark matter experiments |
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Abstract |
Observations with the Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT) indicate an excess in gamma rays originating from the center of our Galaxy. A possible explanation for this excess is the annihilation of Dark Matter particles. We have investigated the annihilation of neutralinos as Dark Matter candidates within the phenomenological Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (pMSSM). An iterative particle filter approach was used to search for solutions within the pMSSM. We found solutions that are consistent with astroparticle physics and collider experiments, and provide a fit to the energy spectrum of the excess. The neutralino is a Bino/Higgsino or Bino/Wino/Higgsino mixture with a mass in the range 84-92 GeV or 87-97 GeV annihilating into W bosons. A third solutions is found for a neutralino of mass 174-187 GeV annihilating into top quarks. The best solutions yield a Dark Matter relic density 0.06 < Omega h(2) < 0.13. These pMSSM solutions make clear forecasts for LHC, direct and indirect DM detection experiments. If the pMSSM explanation of the excess seen by Fermi-LAT is correct, a DM signal might be discovered soon. |
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Address |
[Achterberg, Abraham; Caron, Sascha; Hendriks, Luc] Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Inst Math Astrophys & Particle Phys, Fac Sci, NL-6500 GL Nijmegen, Netherlands, Email: a.achterberg@astro.ru.nl; |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000365046600006 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
2455 |
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Author |
Moline, A.; Ibarra, A.; Palomares-Ruiz, S. |
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Title |
Future sensitivity of neutrino telescopes to dark matter annihilations from the cosmic diffuse neutrino signal |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
06 |
Issue |
6 |
Pages |
005 - 34pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter theory; dark matter simulations; cosmological neutrinos |
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Abstract |
Cosmological observations and cold dark matter N-body simulations indicate that our Universe is populated by numerous halos, where dark matter particles annihilate, potentially producing Standard Model particles. In this paper we calculate the contribution to the diffuse neutrino background from dark matter annihilations in halos at all redshifts and we estimate the future sensitivity to the annihilation cross section of neutrino telescopes such as IceCube or ANTARES. We consider various parametrizations to describe the internal halo properties and for the halo mass function in order to bracket the theoretical uncertainty in the limits from the modeling of the cosmological annihilation flux. We find that observations of the cosmic diffuse neutrino flux at large angular distances from the galactic center lead to constraints on the dark matter annihilation cross section which are complementary to ( and for some extrapolations of the astrophysical parameters, better than) those stemming from observations of the Milky Way halo, especially for neutrino telescopes not pointing directly to the Milky Way center, as is the case of IceCube. |
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Address |
[Moline, Angeles] Univ Tecn Lisboa, Inst Super Tecn, CFTP, P-1049001 Lisbon, Portugal, Email: maria.moline@ist.utl.pt; |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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English |
Summary Language |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
ISBN |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000359215400006 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
2369 |
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Author |
Bernal, N.; Forero-Romero, J.E.; Garani, R.; Palomares-Ruiz, S. |
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Title |
Systematic uncertainties from halo asphericity in dark matter searches |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
09 |
Issue |
9 |
Pages |
004 - 30pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter theory; dark matter simulations |
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Abstract |
Although commonly assumed to be spherical, dark matter halos are predicted to be non-spherical by N-body simulations and their asphericity has a potential impact on the systematic uncertainties in dark matter searches. The evaluation of these uncertainties is the main aim of this work, where we study the impact of aspherical dark matter density distributions in Milky-Way-like halos on direct and indirect searches. Using data from the large N-body cosmological simulation Bolshoi, we perform a statistical analysis and quantify the systematic uncertainties on the determination of local dark matter density and the so-called J factors for dark matter annihilations and decays from the galactic center. We find that, due to our ignorance about the extent of the non-sphericity of the Milky Way dark matter halo, systematic uncertainties can be as large as 35%, within the 95% most probable region, for a spherically averaged value for the local density of 0.3-0.4 GeV/cm(3). Similarly, systematic uncertainties on the J factors evaluated around the galactic center can be as large as 10% and 15%, within the 95% most probable region, for dark matter annihilations and decays, respectively. |
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Address |
[Bernal, Nicolas] Univ Estadual Paulista, Inst Fis Teor, ICTP South Amer Inst Fundamental Res, BR-01405 Sao Paulo, Brazil, Email: nicolas@ift.unesp.br; |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
ISBN |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000342642500005 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
1958 |
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