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Author  |
Conde, D.; Castillo, F.L.; Escobar, C.; García, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldívar, B.; Curto, J.J.; Marsal, S.; Torta, J.M. |
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Title |
Forecasting Geomagnetic Storm Disturbances and Their Uncertainties Using Deep Learning |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Space Weather |
Abbreviated Journal |
Space Weather |
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Volume |
21 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
e2023SW003474 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
geomagnetic storms; deep learning; forecasting; SYM-H; uncertainties; hyper-parameter optimization |
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Abstract |
Severe space weather produced by disturbed conditions on the Sun results in harmful effects both for humans in space and in high-latitude flights, and for technological systems such as spacecraft or communications. Also, geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) flowing on long ground-based conductors, such as power networks, potentially threaten critical infrastructures on Earth. The first step in developing an alarm system against GICs is to forecast them. This is a challenging task given the highly non-linear dependencies of the response of the magnetosphere to these perturbations. In the last few years, modern machine-learning models have shown to be very good at predicting magnetic activity indices. However, such complex models are on the one hand difficult to tune, and on the other hand they are known to bring along potentially large prediction uncertainties which are generally difficult to estimate. In this work we aim at predicting the SYM-H index characterizing geomagnetic storms multiple-hour ahead, using public interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data from the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point and SYM-H data. We implement a type of machine-learning model called long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Our scope is to estimate the prediction uncertainties coming from a deep-learning model in the context of forecasting the SYM-H index. These uncertainties will be essential to set reliable alarm thresholds. The resulting uncertainties turn out to be sizable at the critical stages of the geomagnetic storms. Our methodology includes as well an efficient optimization of important hyper-parameters of the LSTM network and robustness tests. |
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Address |
[Conde, D.; Escobar, C.; Garcia, C.; Garcia, J. E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldivar, B.] Univ Valencia, CSIC, Ctr Mixto, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, Valencia, Spain, Email: Daniel.Conde@ific.uv.es |
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Publisher |
Amer Geophysical Union |
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English |
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Notes |
WOS:001104189700001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5804 |
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Author |
Cranmer, K. et al; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
Publishing statistical models: Getting the most out of particle physics experiments |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2022 |
Publication |
Scipost Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
SciPost Phys. |
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Volume |
12 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
037 - 55pp |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
The statistical models used to derive the results of experimental analyses are of incredible scientific value and are essential information for analysis preservation and reuse. In this paper, we make the scientific case for systematically publishing the full statistical models and discuss the technical developments that make this practical. By means of a variety of physics cases – including parton distribution functions, Higgs boson measurements, effective field theory interpretations, direct searches for new physics, heavy flavor physics, direct dark matter detection, world averages, and beyond the Standard Model global fits – we illustrate how detailed information on the statistical modelling can enhance the short- and long-term impact of experimental results. |
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Address |
[Cranmer, Kyle; Held, Alexander] NYU, New York, NY 10003 USA, Email: kyle.cranmer@nyu.edu; |
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Scipost Foundation |
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English |
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2542-4653 |
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Notes |
WOS:000807448000032 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5255 |
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Author |
Donini, A.; Enguita-Vileta, V.; Esser, F.; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
Generalising Holographic Superconductors |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2022 |
Publication |
Advances in High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
Adv. High. Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
2022 |
Issue |
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Pages |
1785050 - 19pp |
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Abstract |
In this paper we propose a generalised holographic framework to describe superconductors. We first unify the description of s-, p-, and d-wave superconductors in a way that can be easily promoted to higher spin. Using a semianalytical procedure to compute the superconductor properties, we are able to further generalise the geometric description of the hologram beyond the AdS-Schwarzschild Black Hole paradigm and propose a set of higher-dimensional metrics which exhibit the same universal behaviour. We then apply this generalised description to study the properties of the condensate and the scaling of the critical temperature with the parameters of the higher-dimensional theory, which allows us to reproduce existing results in the literature and extend them to include a possible description of the newly observed f-wave superconducting systems. |
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Address |
[Donini, Andrea; Esser, Fabian] Univ Valencia CSIC, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, E-46980 Valencia, Spain, Email: donini@ific.uv.es; |
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Hindawi Ltd |
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English |
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ISSN |
1687-7357 |
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Notes |
WOS:000817216300001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5277 |
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Author |
Ellis, J.; Madigan, M.; Mimasu, K.; Sanz, V.; You, T. |
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Title |
Top, Higgs, diboson and electroweak fit to the Standard Model effective field theory |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2021 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
04 |
Issue |
4 |
Pages |
279 - 78pp |
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Keywords |
Effective Field Theories; Beyond Standard Model; Higgs Physics |
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Abstract |
The search for effective field theory deformations of the Standard Model (SM) is a major goal of particle physics that can benefit from a global approach in the framework of the Standard Model Effective Field Theory (SMEFT). For the first time, we include LHC data on top production and differential distributions together with Higgs production and decay rates and Simplified Template Cross-Section (STXS) measurements in a global fit, as well as precision electroweak and diboson measurements from LEP and the LHC, in a global analysis with SMEFT operators of dimension 6 included linearly. We present the constraints on the coefficients of these operators, both individually and when marginalised, in flavour-universal and top-specific scenarios, studying the interplay of these datasets and the correlations they induce in the SMEFT. We then explore the constraints that our linear SMEFT analysis imposes on specific ultra-violet completions of the Standard Model, including those with single additional fields and low-mass stop squarks. We also present a model-independent search for deformations of the SM that contribute to between two and five SMEFT operator coefficients. In no case do we find any significant evidence for physics beyond the SM. Our underlying Fitmaker public code provides a framework for future generalisations of our analysis, including a quadratic treatment of dimension-6 operators. |
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Address |
[Ellis, John; Mimasu, Ken] Kings Coll London, Dept Phys, Theoret Particle Phys & Cosmol Grp, London WC2R 2LS, England, Email: john.ellis@cern.ch; |
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Publisher |
Springer |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1029-8479 |
ISBN |
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Notes |
WOS:000658918100001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
4857 |
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Author |
Escudero, M.; Rius, N.; Sanz, V. |
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Title |
Sterile neutrino portal to Dark Matter II: exact dark symmetry |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2017 |
Publication |
European Physical Journal C |
Abbreviated Journal |
Eur. Phys. J. C |
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Volume |
77 |
Issue |
6 |
Pages |
397 - 11pp |
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Keywords |
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Abstract |
We analyze a simple extension of the standard model (SM) with a dark sector composed of a scalar and a fermion, both singlets under the SM gauge group but charged under a dark sector symmetry group. Sterile neutrinos, which are singlets under both groups, mediate the interactions between the dark sector and the SM particles, and generate masses for the active neutrinos via the seesaw mechanism. We explore the parameter space region where the observed Dark Matter relic abundance is determined by the annihilation into sterile neutrinos, both for fermion and scalar Dark Matter particles. The scalar Dark Matter case provides an interesting alternative to the usual Higgs portal scenario. We also study the constraints from direct Dark Matter searches and the prospects for indirect detection via sterile neutrino decays to leptons, which may be able to rule out Dark Matter masses below and around 100 GeV. |
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Address |
[Escudero, Miguel; Rius, Nuria] Univ Valencia, CSIC, Dept Fis Teor, C Catedrat Jose Beltran 2, Paterna 46980, Spain, Email: miguel.escudero@ific.uv.es; |
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Publisher |
Springer |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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ISSN |
1434-6044 |
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Notes |
WOS:000403504200002 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
3171 |
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