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Author |
Conde, D.; Castillo, F.L.; Escobar, C.; García, C.; Garcia Navarro, J.E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldívar, B.; Curto, J.J.; Marsal, S.; Torta, J.M. |
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Title |
Forecasting Geomagnetic Storm Disturbances and Their Uncertainties Using Deep Learning |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Space Weather |
Abbreviated Journal |
Space Weather |
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Volume |
21 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
e2023SW003474 - 27pp |
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Keywords |
geomagnetic storms; deep learning; forecasting; SYM-H; uncertainties; hyper-parameter optimization |
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Abstract |
Severe space weather produced by disturbed conditions on the Sun results in harmful effects both for humans in space and in high-latitude flights, and for technological systems such as spacecraft or communications. Also, geomagnetically induced currents (GICs) flowing on long ground-based conductors, such as power networks, potentially threaten critical infrastructures on Earth. The first step in developing an alarm system against GICs is to forecast them. This is a challenging task given the highly non-linear dependencies of the response of the magnetosphere to these perturbations. In the last few years, modern machine-learning models have shown to be very good at predicting magnetic activity indices. However, such complex models are on the one hand difficult to tune, and on the other hand they are known to bring along potentially large prediction uncertainties which are generally difficult to estimate. In this work we aim at predicting the SYM-H index characterizing geomagnetic storms multiple-hour ahead, using public interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) data from the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point and SYM-H data. We implement a type of machine-learning model called long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Our scope is to estimate the prediction uncertainties coming from a deep-learning model in the context of forecasting the SYM-H index. These uncertainties will be essential to set reliable alarm thresholds. The resulting uncertainties turn out to be sizable at the critical stages of the geomagnetic storms. Our methodology includes as well an efficient optimization of important hyper-parameters of the LSTM network and robustness tests. |
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Address  |
[Conde, D.; Escobar, C.; Garcia, C.; Garcia, J. E.; Sanz, V.; Zaldivar, B.] Univ Valencia, CSIC, Ctr Mixto, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, Valencia, Spain, Email: Daniel.Conde@ific.uv.es |
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Amer Geophysical Union |
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English |
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WOS:001104189700001 |
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no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5804 |
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Author |
Cosme, C.; Figueroa, D.G.; Loayza, N. |
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Title |
Gravitational wave production from preheating with trilinear interactions |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
05 |
Issue |
5 |
Pages |
023 - 30pp |
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Keywords |
physics of the early universe; primordial gravitational waves (theory); gravita-tional waves; sources; particle physics-cosmology connection |
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Abstract |
We investigate the production of gravitational waves (GWs) during preheating with monomial/polynomial inflationary potentials, considering a trilinear coupling & phi;x2 between a singlet inflaton & phi; and a daughter scalar field x. For sufficiently large couplings, the trilinear interaction leads to an exponential production of x particles and, as a result, a large stochastic GW background (SGWB) is generated throughout the process. We study the linear and non-linear dynamics of preheating with lattice simulations, following the production of GWs through all relevant stages. We find that large couplings lead to SGWBs with amplitudes today that can reach up to h2 �(0) GW <^> 5 & BULL; 10-9. These backgrounds are however peaked at high frequencies fp > 5 & BULL; 106 Hz, which makes them undetectable by current/planned GW observatories. As the amount of GWs produced is in any case remarkable, we discuss the prospects for probing the SGWB indirectly by using constraints on the effective number of relativistic species in the universe Neff. |
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Address |
[Cosme, Catarina; Figueroa, Daniel G.; Loayza, Nicolas] Univ Valencia CSIC, Inst Fis Corpuscular IFIC, Parc Cientif UV,C-Catedrat Jose Beltran 2, E-46980 Paterna, Spain, Email: catarina.cosme@ific.uv.es; |
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IOP Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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1475-7516 |
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WOS:001038638500007 |
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no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
no |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5660 |
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Author |
Cottin, G.; Helo, J.C.; Hirsch, M.; Pena, C.; Wang, C.S.A.; Xie, S. |
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Title |
Long-lived heavy neutral leptons with a displaced shower signature at CMS |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
02 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
011 - 16pp |
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Keywords |
New Light Particles; Sterile or Heavy Neutrinos |
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Abstract |
We study the LHC discovery potential in the search for heavy neutral leptons (HNL) with a new signature: a displaced shower in the CMS muon detector, giving rise to a large cluster of hits forming a displaced shower. A new Delphes module is used to model the CMS detector response for such displaced decays. We reinterpret a dedicated CMS search for neutral long-lived particles decaying in the CMS muon endcap detectors for the minimal HNL scenario. We demonstrate that this new strategy is particularly sensitive to active-sterile mixings with tau leptons, due to hadronic tau decays. HNL masses between similar to 1-6 GeV can be accessed for mixings as low as vertical bar V-tau N vertical bar(2) similar to 10(-7), probing unique regions of parameter space in the tau sector. |
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Address |
[Cottin, Giovanna] Univ Adolfo Ibanez, Fac Artes Liberales, Dept Ciencias, Diagonal Torres, 2640, Santiago, Chile, Email: giovanna.cottin@uai.cl; |
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Publisher |
Springer |
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English |
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ISSN |
1029-8479 |
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Notes |
WOS:000924750700002 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5474 |
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Author |
Alvarez, M.; Cantero, J.; Czakon, M.; Llorente, J.; Mitov, A.; Poncelet, R. |
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Title |
NNLO QCD corrections to event shapes at the LHC |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Journal of High Energy Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. High Energy Phys. |
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Volume |
03 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
129 - 24pp |
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Keywords |
Higher-Order Perturbative Calculations; Specific QCD Phenomenology |
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Abstract |
In this work we perform the first ever calculation of jet event shapes at hadron colliders at next-to-next-to leading order (NNLO) in QCD. The inclusion of higher order corrections removes the shape difference observed between data and next-to-leading order predictions. The theory uncertainty at NNLO is comparable to, or slightly larger than, existing measurements. Except for narrow kinematical ranges where all-order resummation becomes important, the NNLO predictions for the event shapes considered in the present work are reliable. As a prime application of the results derived in this work we provide a detailed investigation of the prospects for the precision determination of the strong coupling constant and its running through TeV scales from LHC data. |
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Address |
[Czakon, Michal] Rhein Westfal TH Aachen, Inst Theoret Teilchenphys & Kosmol, D-52056 Aachen, Germany, Email: manuel.alvarez.estevez@cern.ch; |
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Springer |
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English |
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ISSN |
1029-8479 |
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Notes |
WOS:000992064600003 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5560 |
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Author |
Nunes da Silva, T.; Chinellato, D.D.; Giannini, A.V.; Takahashi, J.; Ferreira, M.N.; Denicol, G.S.; Hippert, M.; Noronha, J.; Luzum, M. |
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Title |
Prehydrodynamic evolution in large and small systems |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2023 |
Publication |
Physical Review C |
Abbreviated Journal |
Phys. Rev. C |
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Volume |
107 |
Issue |
4 |
Pages |
044901 - 12pp |
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Abstract |
We extend our previous investigation of the effects of prehydrodynamic evolution on final-state observables in heavy-ion collisions [38] to smaller systems. We use a state-of-the-art hybrid model for the numerical simulations with optimal parameters obtained from a previous Bayesian study. By studying p-Pb collisions, we find that the effects due to the assumption of a conformal evolution in the prehydrodynamical stage are even more important in small systems. We also show that this effect depends on the time duration of the pre-equilibrium stage, which is further enhanced in small systems. Finally, we show that the recent proposal of a free-streaming with subluminal velocity for the pre-equilibrium stage, thus effectively breaking conformal invariance, can alleviate the contamination of final-state observables. Our study further reinforces the need for moving beyond conformal approaches in pre-equilibrium dynamics modeling, especially when extracting transport coefficients from hybrid models in the high-precision era of heavy-ion collisions. |
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Address |
[da Silva, T. Nunes] Univ Fed Santa Catarina, Ctr Ciencias Fis & Matemat, Dept Fis, Campus Univ Reitor Joao David Ferreira Lima, BR-88040900 Florianopolis, Brazil, Email: t.j.nunes@ufsc.br; |
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Publisher |
Amer Physical Soc |
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English |
Summary Language |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2469-9985 |
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Notes |
WOS:000974911400001 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
5524 |
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