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Author |
Trotta, R.; Johannesson, G.; Moskalenko, I.V.; Porter, T.A.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strong, A.W. |
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Title |
Constraints on Cosmic-Ray Propagation Models from a Global Bayesian Analysis |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2011 |
Publication |
Astrophysical Journal |
Abbreviated Journal  |
Astrophys. J. |
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Volume |
729 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
106 - 16pp |
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Keywords |
astroparticle physics; cosmic rays; diffusion; Galaxy: general; ISM: general; methods: statistical |
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Abstract |
Research in many areas of modern physics such as, e. g., indirect searches for dark matter and particle acceleration in supernova remnant shocks rely heavily on studies of cosmic rays (CRs) and associated diffuse emissions (radio, microwave, X-rays, gamma-rays). While very detailed numerical models of CR propagation exist, a quantitative statistical analysis of such models has been so far hampered by the large computational effort that those models require. Although statistical analyses have been carried out before using semi-analytical models (where the computation is much faster), the evaluation of the results obtained from such models is difficult, as they necessarily suffer from many simplifying assumptions. The main objective of this paper is to present a working method for a full Bayesian parameter estimation for a numerical CR propagation model. For this study, we use the GALPROP code, the most advanced of its kind, which uses astrophysical information, and nuclear and particle data as inputs to self-consistently predict CRs, gamma-rays, synchrotron, and other observables. We demonstrate that a full Bayesian analysis is possible using nested sampling and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (implemented in the SuperBayeS code) despite the heavy computational demands of a numerical propagation code. The best-fit values of parameters found in this analysis are in agreement with previous, significantly simpler, studies also based on GALPROP. |
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Address |
[Trotta, R.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Astrophys Grp, Blackett Lab, London SW7 2AZ, England |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
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English |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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ISSN |
0004-637x |
ISBN |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
ISI:000288608700029 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
541 |
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Author |
Johannesson, G.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Vincent, A.C.; Moskalenko, I.V.; Orlando, E.; Porter, T.A.; Strong, A.W.; Trotta, R.; Feroz, F.; Graff, P.; Hobson, M.P. |
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Title |
Bayesian analysis of cosmic-ray propagation: evidence against homogeneous diffusion |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2016 |
Publication |
Astrophysical Journal |
Abbreviated Journal |
Astrophys. J. |
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Volume |
824 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
16 - 19pp |
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Keywords |
astroparticle physics; cosmic rays; diffusion; Galaxy: general; ISM: general; methods: statistical |
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Abstract |
We present the results of the most complete scan of the parameter space for cosmic ray (CR) injection and propagation. We perform a Bayesian search of the main GALPROP parameters, using the MultiNest nested sampling algorithm, augmented by the BAMBI neural network machine-learning package. This is the first study to separate out low-mass isotopes (p, (p) over bar and He) from the usual light elements (Be, B, C, N, and O). We find that the propagation parameters that best-fit p, (p) over bar, and He data are significantly different from those that fit light elements, including the B/C and Be-10/Be-9 secondary-to-primary ratios normally used to calibrate propagation parameters. This suggests that each set of species is probing a very different interstellar medium, and that the standard approach of calibrating propagation parameters using B/C can lead to incorrect results. We present posterior distributions and best-fit parameters for propagation of both sets of nuclei, as well as for the injection abundances of elements from H to Si. The input GALDEF files with these new parameters will be included in an upcoming public GALPROP update. |
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Address |
[Johannesson, G.] Univ Iceland, Inst Sci, Dunhaga 3, IS-107 Reykjavik, Iceland |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Series Volume |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
0004-637x |
ISBN |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000377937300016 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
2727 |
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Author |
Bertone, G.; Cerdeño, D.G.; Fornasa, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Strege, C.; Trotta, R. |
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Title |
Global fits of the cMSSM including the first LHC and XENON100 data |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
01 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
015 - 23pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter theory; supersymmetry and cosmology |
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Abstract |
We present updated global fits of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM), including the most recent constraints from the ATLAS and CMS detectors at the LHC, as well as the most recent results of the XENON100 experiment. Our robust analysis takes into account both astrophysical and hadronic uncertainties that enter in the calculation of the rate of WIMP-induced recoils in direct detection experiment. We study the consequences for neutralino Dark Matter, and show that current direct detection data already allow to robustly rule out the so-called Focus Point region, therefore demonstrating the importance of particle astrophysics experiments in constraining extensions of the Standard Model of Particle Physics. We also observe an increased compatibility between results obtained from a Bayesian and a Frequentist statistical perspective. We find that upcoming ton-scale direct detection experiments will probe essentially the entire currently favoured region (at the 99% level), almost independently of the statistical approach used. Prospects for indirect detection of the cMSSM are further reduced. |
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Address |
[Bertone, Gianfranco] Univ Amsterdam, GRAPPA Inst, NL-1090 GL Amsterdam, Netherlands, Email: gf.bertone@gmail.com |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
ISBN |
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Medium |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000300403300015 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
936 |
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Author |
Bertone, G.; Cumberbatch, D.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. |
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Title |
Dark Matter searches: the nightmare scenario |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
01 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
004 - 24pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter theory; dark matter experiments; neutrino detectors; solar and atmospheric neutrinos |
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Abstract |
The unfortunate case where the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) fails to discover physics Beyond the Standard Model (BSM) is sometimes referred to as the “Nightmare scenario” of particle physics. We study the consequences of this hypothetical scenario for Dark Matter (DM), in the framework of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM). We evaluate the surviving regions of the cMSSM parameter space after null searches at the LHC, using several different LHC configurations, and study the consequences for DM searches with ton-scale direct detectors and the IceCube neutrino telescope. We demonstrate that ton-scale direct detection experiments will be able to conclusively probe the cMSSM parameter space that would survive null searches at the LHC with 100 fb(-1) of integrated luminosity at 14TeV. We also demonstrate that IceCube (80 strings plus DeepCore) will be able to probe as much as similar or equal to 17% of the currently favoured parameter space after 5 years of observation. |
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Address |
[Bertone, Gianfranco] Univ Zurich, Inst Theoret Phys, CH-8057 Zurich, Switzerland, Email: bertone@iap.fr |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
ISBN |
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Medium |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000300403300004 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
937 |
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Author |
Strege, C.; Bertone, G.; Cerdeño, D.G.; Fornasa, M.; Ruiz de Austri, R.; Trotta, R. |
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Title |
Updated global fits of the cMSSM including the latest LHC SUSY and Higgs searches and XENON100 data |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Cosmol. Astropart. Phys. |
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Volume |
03 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
030 - 22pp |
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Keywords |
dark matter theory; dark matter experiments |
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Abstract |
We present new global fits of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM), including LHC 1/fb integrated luminosity SUSY exclusion limits, recent LHC 5/fb constraints on the mass of the Higgs boson and XENON100 direct detection data. Our analysis fully takes into account astrophysical and hadronic uncertainties that enter the analysis when translating direct detection limits into constraints on the cMSSM parameter space. We provide results for both a Bayesian and a Frequentist statistical analysis. We find that LHC 2011 constraints in combination with XENON100 data can rule out a significant portion of the cMSSM parameter space. Our results further emphasise the complementarity of collider experiments and direct detection searches in constraining extensions of Standard Model physics. The LHC 2011 exclusion limit strongly impacts on low-mass regions of cMSSM parameter space, such as the stau co-annihilation region, while direct detection data can rule out regions of high SUSY masses, such as the Focus-Point region, which is unreachable for the LHC in the near future. We show that, in addition to XENON100 data, the experimental constraint on the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon plays a dominant role in disfavouring large scalar and gaugino masses. We find that, should the LHC 2011 excess hinting towards a Higgs boson at 126 GeV be confirmed, currently favoured regions of the cMSSM parameter space will be robustly ruled out from both a Bayesian and a profile likelihood statistical perspective. |
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Address |
[Strege, C.; Trotta, R.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Blackett Lab, Astrophys Grp, London SW7 2AZ, England, Email: charlotte.strege09@imperial.ac.uk; |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Iop Publishing Ltd |
Place of Publication |
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Editor |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
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Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
1475-7516 |
ISBN |
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Medium |
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Area |
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Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
WOS:000302949600030 |
Approved |
no |
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Is ISI |
yes |
International Collaboration |
yes |
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Call Number |
IFIC @ pastor @ |
Serial |
1001 |
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| Permanent link to this record |
