TY - JOUR AU - Jueid, A. AU - Kip, J. AU - Ruiz de Austri, R. AU - Skands, P. PY - 2024 DA - 2024// TI - The Strong Force meets the Dark Sector: a robust estimate of QCD uncertainties for anti-matter dark matter searches T2 - J. High Energy Phys. JO - Journal of High Energy Physics SP - 119 EP - 48pp VL - 02 IS - 2 PB - Springer KW - Cosmic Rays KW - Particle Nature of Dark Matter KW - Specific QCD Phenomenology AB - In dark-matter annihilation channels to hadronic final states, stable particles – such as positrons, photons, antiprotons, and antineutrinos – are produced via complex sequences of phenomena including QED/QCD radiation, hadronisation, and hadron decays. These processes are normally modelled by Monte Carlo (MC) event generators whose limited accuracy imply intrinsic QCD uncertainties on the predictions for indirect-detection experiments like Fermi-LAT, Pamela, IceCube or Ams-02. In this article, we perform a comprehensive analysis of QCD uncertainties, meaning both perturbative and nonperturbative sources of uncertainty are included – estimated via variations of MC renormalization-scale and fragmentation-function parameters, respectively – in antimatter spectra from dark-matter annihilation, based on parametric variations of the Pythia 8 event generator. After performing several retunings of light-quark fragmentation functions, we define a set of variations that span a conservative estimate of the QCD uncertainties. We estimate the effects on antimatter spectra for various annihilation channels and final-state particle species, and discuss their impact on fitted values for the dark-matter mass and thermally-averaged annihilation cross section. We find dramatic impacts which can go up to O(10%) for the annihilation cross section. We provide the spectra in tabulated form including QCD uncertainties and code snippets to perform fast dark-matter fits, in this github repository. SN - 1029-8479 UR - https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.11363 UR - https://doi.org/10.1007/JHEP02(2024)119 DO - 10.1007/JHEP02(2024)119 LA - English N1 - WOS:001165531600003 ID - Jueid_etal2024 ER -