@Article{Jueid_etal2024, author="Jueid, A. and Kip, J. and Ruiz de Austri, R. and Skands, P.", title="The Strong Force meets the Dark Sector: a robust estimate of QCD uncertainties for anti-matter dark matter searches", journal="Journal of High Energy Physics", year="2024", publisher="Springer", volume="02", number="2", pages="119--48pp", optkeywords="Cosmic Rays; Particle Nature of Dark Matter; Specific QCD Phenomenology", abstract="In dark-matter annihilation channels to hadronic final states, stable particles -- such as positrons, photons, antiprotons, and antineutrinos -- are produced via complex sequences of phenomena including QED/QCD radiation, hadronisation, and hadron decays. These processes are normally modelled by Monte Carlo (MC) event generators whose limited accuracy imply intrinsic QCD uncertainties on the predictions for indirect-detection experiments like Fermi-LAT, Pamela, IceCube or Ams-02. In this article, we perform a comprehensive analysis of QCD uncertainties, meaning both perturbative and nonperturbative sources of uncertainty are included -- estimated via variations of MC renormalization-scale and fragmentation-function parameters, respectively -- in antimatter spectra from dark-matter annihilation, based on parametric variations of the Pythia 8 event generator. After performing several retunings of light-quark fragmentation functions, we define a set of variations that span a conservative estimate of the QCD uncertainties. We estimate the effects on antimatter spectra for various annihilation channels and final-state particle species, and discuss their impact on fitted values for the dark-matter mass and thermally-averaged annihilation cross section. We find dramatic impacts which can go up to O(10{\%}) for the annihilation cross section. We provide the spectra in tabulated form including QCD uncertainties and code snippets to perform fast dark-matter fits, in this github repository.", optnote="WOS:001165531600003", optnote="exported from refbase (https://references.ific.uv.es/refbase/show.php?record=5956), last updated on Mon, 04 Mar 2024 07:48:15 +0000", issn="1029-8479", doi="10.1007/JHEP02(2024)119", opturl="https://arxiv.org/abs/2303.11363", opturl="https://doi.org/10.1007/JHEP02(2024)119", language="English" }